兴业证券：这是一轮“健康牛”

Group 1 - The current market is experiencing a "healthy bull" phase, characterized by a steady upward trend in A-shares and a consensus on the bull market's continuation [1][2] - The market is expected to serve the real economy, focusing on high-quality development and wealth effect to boost market confidence, indicating a gradual and stable market rather than volatile fluctuations [2][5] - Despite new index highs, most industries remain at moderate levels of crowding, allowing for a "multi-point blooming" market where various sectors and themes take turns in gaining attention [5][7] Group 2 - Institutional advantages are becoming more apparent as the market warms up, with active public funds showing significant performance gains, indicating a potential "institutional bull" market [7][11] - The number of new institutional accounts has surged to historical highs, suggesting a positive correlation with the issuance of equity funds [11][14] Group 3 - The brokerage sector is highlighted as a direct vehicle for the "healthy bull," with expected strong performance due to market activity and relatively low current valuations [15][16] - The AI sector has emerged as a strong market leader, showing no signs of overheating despite previous rapid gains, indicating a sustainable upward trend [18][24] Group 4 - The military industry is poised for growth due to upcoming events like military parades and the "Five-Year Plan" meeting, which historically catalyze stock performance [30][33] - The military sector is expected to benefit from both domestic strategic planning and increased global competitiveness, with significant order releases anticipated [36][37][38] Group 5 - The "anti-involution" theme is becoming a long-term focus, with policies aimed at breaking negative cycles and improving industry profitability, particularly in sectors like steel and glass [40][42] - Key industries involved in "anti-involution" are currently at historical lows in profitability and capital expenditure, indicating a strong willingness to participate in positive changes [42]