兴银基金刘帆：指数化投资迎来“风口”

Core Insights - Index investment is experiencing a significant surge, with pure index fund assets surpassing 4 trillion yuan in Q2, reflecting a 7.4% increase from Q1, driven by changes in resident asset allocation and the inherent advantages of index products [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The shift in resident asset allocation is characterized by an increase in risk appetite, a trend referred to as "deposit migration," and a rising demand for quality equity assets [2][4]. - The number of aggressive risk-tolerant individual investors has increased by 1.25 percentage points over the past year, indicating a growing preference for higher risk-return products in a low-interest-rate environment [2]. Group 2: Product Characteristics - Index funds are becoming essential tools for asset allocation, offering benefits such as risk diversification, enhanced returns, increased transparency, and reduced management costs [2][4]. - New product categories like sci-tech bond ETFs and cross-market ETFs are emerging, providing diversified investment options and gaining market recognition [2]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - The value of equity asset allocation is becoming increasingly evident, with index funds viewed as high-quality tools for entering the equity market [4]. - Three types of capital are expected to inject momentum into the equity market: insurance funds favoring high-dividend large-cap assets, household savings exceeding 120 trillion yuan, and foreign capital seeking stable, liquid blue-chip stocks [4][5]. Group 4: Internationalization and Foreign Investment - The increase in A-share profitability has attracted foreign investors, who prefer fundamentally strong, liquid leading stocks and passive investment strategies, thereby promoting value and index investment concepts [5][6]. - Since A-shares were first included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index in 2018, the proportion of foreign ownership in total circulating market value has risen from approximately 1.3% in 2012 to 3.7% in 2020, with a notable acceleration post-MSCI inclusion [6][7]. Group 5: Market Evolution - The entry of long-term foreign capital has improved liquidity, pricing efficiency, and corporate governance transparency, aligning the market with international practices [7]. - As Chinese companies gain global influence, the process of foreign capital allocation to A-shares is expected to continue, leading to further innovations in product offerings and trading mechanisms [7].