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中国银河策略:港股三大指数集体上涨,中报业绩关注度提升
Jin Rong Jie·2025-08-18 00:08

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices showed positive performance from August 11 to August 15, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.65% to close at 25,270.07 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.52% to 5,543.17 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up by 1.62% to 9,039.09 points [6][1][3] - Among the ten sectors, all but utilities saw gains, with healthcare, information technology, and materials leading the way with increases of 8.02%, 4.95%, and 4.7% respectively [7][1] Liquidity and Fund Flow - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 256.86 billion, an increase of HKD 30.31 billion from the previous week [14][1] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 38.12 billion, with a record single-day net inflow of HKD 35.88 billion on August 15 [14][1] Valuation and Risk Premium - As of August 15, the Hang Seng Index had a PE ratio of 11.52 and a PB ratio of 1.2, both at the 85th percentile since 2019 [16][2] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 4.35%, indicating a low-risk environment compared to historical standards [18][2] Investment Outlook - The market is advised to focus on sectors with better-than-expected interim results, such as innovative pharmaceuticals, AI industry chains, and sectors benefiting from favorable policies [25][3] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a cyclical adjustment, but investment in semiconductor equipment has shown a significant increase of 53.4% [11][3] - The "anti-involution" initiative in the lithium industry aims to promote healthy competition and stabilize market supply [12][3]