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中信证券:银行板块基本面稳中向好 绝对收益可期
智通财经网·2025-08-18 01:18

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is experiencing a gradual recovery in performance, with narrowing declines in net interest margins and stable asset quality, indicating a positive trend for the remainder of the year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the banking industry's net profit showed a significant improvement, with a year-on-year decline of only -1.20%, a notable recovery from -2.3% in Q1 2025, suggesting a potential positive growth rate of +0.1% for the quarter [2]. - Large banks outperformed with a net profit growth of +1.1%, while other categories like joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks showed varied results, with declines of -2.0%, -1.1%, and -7.9% respectively [2]. Revenue Contribution - The net interest margin for commercial banks in Q2 2025 was 1.42%, showing a slight decrease of 1 basis point from the previous quarter, a significant improvement from a 9 basis point drop in Q1 2025 [3]. - Non-interest income as a percentage of total income increased by 0.79 percentage points to 25.75%, indicating a faster recovery in non-interest revenue, primarily driven by market fluctuations in the bond sector [3]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets and loans for commercial banks grew by 8.9% and 7.7% year-on-year respectively by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting a positive trend in asset expansion [4]. - The capital adequacy ratios improved, with the overall capital adequacy ratio, tier 1 capital ratio, and core tier 1 capital ratio increasing by 0.30, 0.28, and 0.23 percentage points respectively [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for commercial banks was 1.49%, showing a slight improvement from the previous quarter, while the attention loan ratio was 2.17% [5]. - The provision coverage ratio increased to 211.97%, indicating a strengthened ability to withstand risks, with large banks showing the highest coverage ratios [5].