7月主要经济指标累计增速总体平稳

Economic Overview - In July, the national economy showed stable operation with major economic indicators remaining within a reasonable range, including a 5.7% year-on-year growth in industrial added value and a 3.7% increase in retail sales of consumer goods [1][6] - The total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, with exports growing by 8%, indicating strong resilience and vitality in trade [1][6] Consumption Trends - The retail sales growth rate for consumer goods decreased to 3.7% in July, down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, but the overall consumption expansion trend remains unchanged [2] - The service market sales remained stable, with a 5.2% growth in service retail from January to July, indicating consistent consumer demand [2][3] - Significant growth was observed in specific categories such as home appliances (28.7%), cultural and office supplies (13.8%), and furniture (20.6%) [2] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July, with real growth estimated at 4% to 5% after adjusting for price factors [4][5] - Manufacturing investment increased by 6.2%, with notable growth in aerospace (33.9%) and computer equipment (16%) [5] - The investment structure is continuously optimizing, driven by innovation and large-scale equipment updates, despite some short-term pressures [5][6] Future Outlook - The economic foundation remains strong with significant potential for growth, supported by ongoing consumption initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment [6][7] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence from the international community [6] - Upcoming policies aimed at boosting consumption and infrastructure investment are expected to stabilize domestic demand [7]