英国经济韧性超预期 英国央行降息门槛抬高
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-18 05:40
Group 1 - The UK economy showed resilience in Q2, with a GDP growth rate of 0.3% in June, exceeding expectations [1] - The performance of the economy provides some comfort to Chancellor Reeves, but raises the threshold for further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England [1] - Factors impacting the economy include a £26 billion tax increase policy, rising regulated prices, and the impact of tariffs from the US [1] Group 2 - The GBP/USD exchange rate is expected to have limited downside, ideally supported around the 1.3500 level, which would allow for a healthy correction [2] - A successful breakout above the 1.3588-1.3618 resistance zone could open up potential towards 1.3788, marking the highest level since October 2021 [2]