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东海研究 | 晨会纪要20250818

Global Market Overview - Global stock markets continued to rise, while major commodity futures such as oil, gold, copper, and aluminum experienced declines [3] - The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rebounded with a month-on-month increase of 0.9% in July, marking the highest growth since June 2022 [4] - The US dollar index decreased by 0.42% to 97.8538, with non-US currencies appreciating [3][4] Domestic Equity Market - As of August 15, the average daily trading volume in the domestic equity market was 20,780 billion yuan, up from 16,748 billion yuan [4] - Among the 31 primary industries, 22 saw gains while 9 experienced declines, with the telecommunications sector leading with a 7.66% increase [4] - The consumer sector showed a mixed performance, with essential goods and discretionary spending both experiencing growth [7] Economic Data Insights - In July, China's retail sales grew by 3.7% year-on-year, lower than the expected 4.87% [6] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat year-on-year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.6% [8] - Fixed asset investment continued to show weakness, with a cumulative year-on-year decline [13] Policy and Financial Support - The People's Bank of China and other departments issued guidelines to support the new industrialization process, aiming for a mature financial system by 2027 [16] - Recent economic data indicates a need for policy adjustments to stabilize expectations and support investment [11] Industry Performance - The mechanical industry reported a revenue growth of 7.8% and profit growth of 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [16] - The robotics sector is experiencing innovation, with the World Humanoid Robot Games showcasing advancements in technology [17] - Companies like Aobi Zhongguang reported significant revenue growth of 104.14% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by increased sales in 3D vision products [18]