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财信证券袁闯:积极因素逐步累积 经济高质量发展势头将进一步巩固
Zhong Zheng Wang·2025-08-18 12:05

Core Viewpoint - The macroeconomic environment is showing steady improvement, with positive factors gradually increasing, indicating a trend towards high-quality economic development [1] Economic Performance - The actual GDP growth rate for the first half of the year reached 5.3%, reflecting a significant increase in confidence among social entities [1] - The wealth effect from the rise in A-shares this year has partially offset the downward pressure on housing prices, aiding in the gradual recovery of residents' balance sheets [1] Government Policy and Spending - Government spending remains robust, providing strong support for economic stabilization, with net financing of government bonds in social financing continuing to grow significantly [1] - The focus of government spending is directed towards consumption, infrastructure investment, and livelihood expenditures [1] Monetary Indicators - The M1 growth rate increased by 1.0 percentage points from the previous month to 5.6%, indicating improved liquidity in the economy [1] Policy Effects - The effects of the "Two New" policies and "anti-involution" policies are gradually becoming evident, with signs of marginal improvement in prices [1] - The core CPI rose by 0.8% year-on-year in July, the highest level since March 2024 [1] Sectoral Investment - There is a notable acceleration in the transition between old and new growth drivers, with high-intensity investment in emerging sectors such as aerospace and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) [1]