摩根士丹利基金：“十五五”预计智能化无人化装备会成为军工板块投资重点

Group 1 - The core investment logic of the military industry includes budget stability, equipment upgrades, asset securitization, reform and innovation, and long-term investment, with excess returns often stemming from geopolitical events causing market fluctuations [1] - The growth of the military industry is closely linked to national military budgets, with the replacement of outdated equipment and the development of new equipment being key drivers of growth [1] - The acceleration of military asset securitization and the injection of state-owned enterprise assets into listed companies have effectively enhanced the profitability of listed companies, leading to a potential dual increase in profitability and valuation for the sector [1] Group 2 - The military sector is expected to maintain a relatively optimistic outlook, with a comparative advantage in the A-share market, as it is in the early stages of innovation acceleration during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The military sector's fundamentals are at the first year of a turning point, with a high certainty of continued improvement over the next two years, and core targets are expected to see valuation digestion from 2025 to 2027 [2] - The low base from the mid-cycle adjustment in the "Five-Year Cycle" and the demand for early stocking for the next "Five-Year Plan" contribute to high profit recovery expectations for the sector [2]