Cisco Drops 6% Post Q4 Results: Time to Buy CSCO Shares on the Dip?

Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares have declined 6% following the fiscal Q4 2025 results, primarily due to slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew 12% year over year to $7.63 billion [1][8] - The decline in stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially considering Cisco's strong momentum in AI [1] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, leading to total revenues of $2 billion for fiscal 2025, which is double the management's original expectations [2] - Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) reached $31.1 billion, up 5%, with product ARR growing by 8%. Total subscription revenues increased 3% year over year to $7.9 billion, accounting for 54% of total revenues [3] - Total Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased 6% year over year to $43.5 billion, with product RPO growing 8% [3] Market Position and Comparisons - Year to date, CSCO shares have appreciated 11.8%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which has appreciated 13.7%, and peers Broadcom (AVGO) and Arista Networks (ANET), which have appreciated 32.1% and 24.2%, respectively [4] - Cisco's shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.65X, compared to the industry average of 4.14X, but are trading at a discount compared to Arista Networks and Broadcom [15][18] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, an increase from $56.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with projected non-GAAP earnings per share between $4 and $4.06 [8][13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $56.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.2%, while the consensus for earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a growth of 5.5% [14] Strategic Initiatives - Cisco's aggressive push into AI and its growing security business are significant growth drivers, with strong demand for products like Cisco Secure Access and XDR [9][11] - The partnership with NVIDIA is expected to enhance Cisco's AI capabilities, offering solutions for AI-ready data center networks [12] Investment Outlook - An expanding portfolio positions Cisco for sustained growth in the evolving tech landscape, particularly in AI and security [21] - Cisco currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable investment opportunity for accumulation [21]