Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the A-share market is currently in a reasonable valuation range, with no significant overvaluation observed despite recent valuation adjustments in blue-chip stocks [1] Valuation Metrics - The dynamic price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the CSI 300 is around 12.2 times, which is at approximately the 69th percentile historically since 2010, suggesting that A-share valuations are moderate compared to major global markets [1] - The total market capitalization of A-shares has reached around 100 trillion yuan, with the market capitalization to GDP ratio remaining at a relatively low level among major global markets [1] - The ratio of total market capitalization to M2 is about 33%, which is at the 60th percentile historically, indicating a moderate liquidity position [1] - The current dividend yield of the CSI 300 is 2.69%, which remains attractive compared to the yield on ten-year government bonds, suggesting that equity assets still hold relative appeal [1] Market Activity and Volatility - There is a need to monitor the rapid increase in trading volume, which may lead to heightened short-term volatility; on August 18, the total market trading volume exceeded 2.8 trillion yuan, with a turnover rate of over 5% based on free float market capitalization [1] - Historical experience indicates that during periods of increased trading activity, short-term index fluctuations may intensify, although this typically does not affect the medium-term market trend [1]
中金：A股目前整体估值水平横向和纵向对比来看仍处于合理区间