智通财经网·2025-08-19 02:05Market Overview - The A-share market continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly 10-year high and the North Star 50 hitting a historical peak. The Shenzhen Composite Index and the ChiNext Index also surpassed their highs from October 8 of the previous year [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.76 trillion yuan, an increase of 519.6 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking a new high for the year [1] - By the close of trading, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.85%, the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.84% [1] Valuation Analysis - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the overall valuation of A-shares is currently in a reasonable range and not overvalued. The dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of the CSI 300 is around 12.2 times, which is approximately at the 69th percentile historically since 2010 [2] - The market capitalization of A-shares has reached around 100 trillion yuan, with the ratio to GDP remaining at a relatively low level compared to major global markets [2] - The total market capitalization to M2 ratio is about 33%, positioned at the 60th percentile historically, indicating a moderate valuation level [2] - The dividend yield of the CSI 300 is 2.69%, which remains attractive compared to the yield of 10-year government bonds [2] Brokerage Sector Insights - Huatai Securities noted that the brokerage sector is currently undervalued and underweighted, with a positive outlook for value re-evaluation in the sector. The equity market has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year, with continuous increases in trading volume, margin financing balances, and the issuance scale of equity products [3] - The performance of brokerages is expected to improve due to the sustained growth of market conditions and the positive regulatory environment supporting capital markets [3] PCB Industry Outlook - Dongwu Securities highlighted that the recent price increases in copper-clad laminates reflect the high demand in the PCB industry, driven by the demand for computing servers. Several copper-clad laminate manufacturers have announced price hikes [4] - The demand for multi-layer boards, HDI, and high-frequency boards is expected to grow significantly, with specific requirements for drilling, exposure, and electroplating processes [4] - Dongwu Securities recommends focusing on the core processes of PCB production, including drilling, exposure, and electroplating [4]