市场笃定美联储9月必降息

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the market is anticipating a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, driven by recent economic data and comments from Treasury Secretary Scott Basset [1] - The latest economic data shows a moderate increase in U.S. inflation for July, which, combined with Basset's remarks, has strengthened expectations for a rate cut [1] - Market expectations for a rate cut have surged, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in the September meeting reaching 99.9%, the highest in recent years [1] Group 2 - The dollar index faces strong resistance between the levels of 98.245 and 98.672, which could limit its upward movement [2] - The 98.245 level corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the decline in August, while 98.672 is identified as this week's high [2] - If these resistance levels hold, the dollar index may continue to decline, with an initial target set at the July 24 low of 97.107 [2]