Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is experiencing downward pressure due to the Reserve Bank of Australia's dovish stance and lowered economic growth expectations, while potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provide some support [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The AUD/USD exchange rate is currently trading around 0.64, reflecting a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish sentiments in the market [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia's clear signals for interest rate cuts are weakening the traditional interest rate differential advantage of the AUD [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over a global economic "hard landing" are amplifying the volatility of the AUD as a risk-sensitive currency [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Indicators on the hourly and daily charts for AUD/USD are showing negative values, suggesting further potential declines [2] - The exchange rate may break below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) located around 0.6455, with potential targets at the monthly low range of 0.6420-0.6415 and the psychological level of 0.6400 [2] - A significant drop below the 0.6400 level could trigger further bearish momentum for the AUD [2]
澳洲联储鸽派压制澳元 美联储宽松预期提供支撑
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-19 04:03