Core Insights - The central government has clarified its stance on addressing "involution" competition, transitioning from policy formulation to implementation since the second half of 2024 [1][2] - In July 2025, 33 construction-related central enterprises, state-owned enterprises, and private enterprises issued a "Proposal" advocating for the "Four No's" principle: no scale assembly, no blind expansion, no excessive debt, and no shell structures, aiming to resist "involution" competition and shift focus from price competition to value competition [1][2] Construction Industry Analysis - The report emphasizes the shift from price competition to value competition in the construction industry, driven by the "anti-involution" policy [2] - The analysis categorizes the construction industry into three major segments: central state-owned enterprise blue chips, international engineering, and steel structure [2] Central State-Owned Enterprises - For traditional undervalued central state-owned enterprise blue chips, the focus should be on three dimensions: dividend capability, price elasticity, and technological transformation [3] - In Q1 2025, the market share of nine major construction central enterprises increased to 59.89%, indicating strong order acquisition capabilities [3] - Companies with strong dividend capabilities, such as China State Construction and Sichuan Road and Bridge, are recommended [3] International Engineering Sector - The international engineering sector benefits from price elasticity, particularly with rising expectations for resource prices [4] - North China International, which has a significant coal sales volume, is highlighted for its potential profit contributions from coal business in 2026 [4] Steel and Cement Industries - The steel and cement industries are expected to improve profitability through the exit of outdated capacities and product structure upgrades [5] - Companies like China National Materials and China Steel International are recommended, with China Aluminum International suggested for attention [5] Steel Structure Sector - The steel structure sector is divided into manufacturing and installation segments, with rising steel prices benefiting manufacturing companies like Honglu Steel Structure [6] - The transition towards intelligent construction and green building is expected to enhance the competitive advantages of leading companies in the installation segment, such as Jinggong Steel Structure and Jianghe Group [6]
哪些建筑标的受益于“反内卷”? | 投研报告