荣耀出货量跌出前五 “机海战术”或走HTC老路？

Core Insights - Concerns have been raised regarding Honor's "product ocean strategy," as the company currently has over 20 models across six series while continuing to expand its product lineup, leading to fears of following HTC's path [2] - According to Counterpoint Research, Honor's shipment volume in Q2 2025 is expected to drop by 19% year-on-year, with market share decreasing from 15.5% to 12.8%, resulting in a fall to sixth place [2] Market Performance - IDC data indicates that Honor's market share fell from 17.1% in Q1 2024 (ranking first) to 13.7% in Q4 2024 (ranking fifth), and by Q1 2025, it completely dropped out of the top five, categorized as "Others" [6] - Following Huawei's full return in the second half of 2023, Honor's position as a "substitute" has been rapidly squeezed, with Huawei holding an 18.1% market share in Q2 2025, driven by the success of its Nova 14 series and price reductions on high-end models [6] Competitive Landscape - Despite the HONOR 400 series achieving sales leadership in the 2.5K-4K price range during the 618 shopping festival, competitors like Redmi K80 have reduced prices to 2099 yuan, highlighting Honor's weak differentiation due to a lack of foundational chip technology [6] - Honor's strategy of expanding its product matrix to cover more price segments raises concerns about maintaining the competitiveness of each model, as the company currently offers over 20 models across six series [6] Financial Performance - Honor's cumulative losses in the foldable phone segment are projected to reach 2-3 billion yuan by 2024, while the Magic7 series has only sold 1.28 million units in a year, significantly lower than Huawei's Mate70 series [6]