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地缘风险缓释 贵金属分化运行
Jin Tou Wang·2025-08-19 07:08

Group 1 - Gold attracted some bargain buying during the Asian session on August 19, moving away from a two-week low reached the previous day, supported by increasing belief that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle in September [1][2] - Silver prices remained subdued for the fourth consecutive trading day, trading around $38.00 per ounce during the Asian session, facing challenges due to shrinking safe-haven demand amid positive signals regarding a potential resolution to the Ukraine-Russia war [1][2] - Market sentiment turned cautious ahead of talks between Trump and Zelensky, with geopolitical discussions attracting global attention, highlighting the importance of the upcoming meetings involving several European leaders [2] Group 2 - The expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September provided some support for silver prices, with market expectations for a rate cut currently at 84%, reinforcing the view that policy easing may begin next month [2] - Technical analysis indicates that spot gold is under pressure below the EMA50 moving average, with bearish signals from the RSI suggesting that sellers continue to dominate market trends [3] - Silver is hovering above a bearish double top formation, with a critical support level at $37.50; a decisive break below this level could open the door for further declines to $36.50 or even $35.50 [3]