Company Overview - Serve Robotics is focused on developing autonomous last-mile logistics solutions, particularly for food delivery, and has recently partnered with Uber Eats to deploy 2,000 delivery robots [4][9] - The company has made over 100,000 deliveries since early 2022, achieving a 99.8% completion rate, indicating high reliability [8] Financial Performance - Serve generated $642,000 in total revenue during Q2 2025, a 37% increase year-over-year, but this is relatively small given its market capitalization of over $500 million [10] - Wall Street estimates suggest Serve's total revenue for 2025 could reach approximately $3.6 million, a 99% increase from 2024, with potential growth to $80 million by 2026 as the rollout of Gen3 robots completes [11] - The company reported a loss of $33.7 million in the first half of 2025, indicating significant financial strain as it seeks to commercialize its business [12] Investment Considerations - Serve's current valuation is high, trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 317, which raises concerns about its investment attractiveness compared to Nvidia's P/S ratio of 30 [14][15] - Nvidia sold its entire stake in Serve, which may indicate concerns about the company's overvaluation and financial situation [3][17] - Serve has approximately $183 million in cash, which may only sustain operations until the end of 2026, raising the possibility of future capital raises that could dilute existing shareholders [13] Market Opportunity - The shift to autonomous delivery solutions is projected to create a $450 billion market opportunity by 2030, as current last-mile logistics are deemed inefficient [6] - Serve's Gen3 robots utilize Nvidia's Jetson Orin platform, enabling Level 4 autonomy for safe deliveries without human intervention [7]
Serve Robotics Stock Is Down 55% Since Nvidia Made This Surprising Move. Should You Buy the Dip, or Run for the Hills?