船燃加注: 生物柴油突围新路

Core Insights - The Chinese biodiesel industry is facing significant challenges due to EU policies, but the development of bio marine fuel bunkering presents a viable opportunity for growth [1][2][4]. Industry Overview - China is a major biodiesel producer with an annual output exceeding 2 million tons, of which 90% is exported [2]. - The EU is the largest market for Chinese biodiesel, with approximately 180,000 tons exported in 2023, accounting for 90% of total exports [2]. Challenges Faced - The EU has implemented multiple measures against Chinese biodiesel, including the revocation of ISCC certifications and anti-dumping investigations, leading to a significant drop in exports [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, China's ester-based biodiesel exports fell by 42.55% year-on-year, indicating a shrinking market share [3]. Opportunities in Bio Marine Fuel - Expanding bio marine fuel bunkering is seen as a critical strategy for the biodiesel industry to overcome export challenges [4][5]. - The demand for bio marine fuel is increasing, with significant sales growth in major ports like Singapore and Rotterdam, despite a price premium of 30% to 60% over low-sulfur fuel oil [4]. Strategic Advantages - Promoting bio marine fuel aligns with low-carbon development trends and can help avoid EU tariffs by shifting the supply chain to domestic blending and bunkering [5][6]. - The establishment of a domestic carbon accounting and certification system is crucial for enhancing China's international competitiveness in biofuels [6]. Future Projections - By the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the annual consumption of B24 bio marine fuel in China is expected to reach 15 to 20 million tons, potentially driving biodiesel usage by 3.6 to 4.8 million tons [6]. - The industry must transition from an export-dependent model to a dual circulation strategy, focusing on innovation and high-quality development [7].