Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Core Viewpoint - Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended July 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on August 26, and if the key numbers exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $1.28 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.6%, while revenues are projected to be $6.86 billion, up 12.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.77% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Bank of Nova Scotia aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the potential deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive ESP being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - Bank of Nova Scotia currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12][13]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Bank of Nova Scotia was expected to post earnings of $1.14 per share but delivered only $1.06, resulting in a surprise of -7.02% [14]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [15]. Conclusion - While the potential for an earnings beat exists, Bank of Nova Scotia does not appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, and investors should consider additional factors when making investment decisions [18].