解码制造业高质量发展之路——对话国务院发展研究中心产业经济研究部部长田杰棠

Core Insights - The manufacturing industry is emphasized as the foundation of national strength and economic development, with a focus on high-quality growth and strategic importance in the context of global changes [1][3][23]. Manufacturing Industry Development Trends - In the first half of the year, manufacturing value added grew by 7%, outpacing GDP growth by over 1 percentage point, indicating an increasing share of manufacturing in GDP [2][3]. - Manufacturing investment increased by 7.5%, significantly higher than the overall fixed asset investment growth of 2.8% [2]. - Exports of manufacturing products rose by 7.2%, showcasing manufacturing as a key driver of economic growth amid challenges in other sectors like real estate [2][3]. Structural Changes in Manufacturing - High-end equipment manufacturing saw value added growth exceeding 10%, indicating a shift towards advanced manufacturing [2][3]. - High-tech manufacturing value added grew by 9.5%, surpassing the overall manufacturing growth rate by 2.5 percentage points, with significant increases in industrial robots and 3D printing equipment [2][3]. Trends in High-end, Intelligent, and Green Manufacturing - The transformation of manufacturing is characterized by high-end, intelligent, and green development, with significant progress in high-tech industries and equipment [3][4]. - The integration of artificial intelligence into manufacturing processes is increasing, with examples of AI applications in production and the development of intelligent robots [4][5]. - The production of new energy vehicles and related products is growing rapidly, contributing to the green transformation of the economy [4][5]. Policy Support and Market Dynamics - Government policies have played a crucial role in supporting manufacturing, with increased funding and expanded product coverage under the "two new" policies [6]. - Despite challenges such as price index declines and demand pressures, the manufacturing sector remains resilient and is seen as a core growth driver for the economy [6][7]. Export Dynamics and Global Market Position - While exports to the U.S. have declined due to tariffs, overall goods exports still grew by 7.2%, driven by strong performance in emerging markets [7][8]. - The competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing is highlighted by the high proportion of electromechanical products in total exports, which reached 60% [7][8]. Future Manufacturing Strategy - The manufacturing sector's share of GDP is projected to be around 24.9% in 2024, which is still above the global average of approximately 15% [9][10]. - Maintaining a reasonable share of manufacturing is essential, with a focus on balancing supply and demand dynamics and avoiding excessive declines [9][10][11]. - The future direction includes enhancing technological capabilities, product quality, and cultural value in manufacturing [23][24]. Key Areas for Development - Traditional industries are encouraged to innovate and learn from global best practices, while emerging industries like new energy vehicles and biopharmaceuticals are identified as future pillars of growth [24][25]. - Investment in future industries, particularly in general-purpose technologies, is crucial for driving innovation and maintaining competitiveness [25][26].