Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing significant pressure and adjustments, contrasting with the strong performance of the equity market, leading to concerns among bond fund managers about redemption pressures and declining net asset values [1][3][6]. Market Performance - On August 18, the bond market faced its worst day in August, with 10-year and 30-year government bond yields rising by 5 basis points and 6 basis points respectively, closing at 1.79% and 2.06% [1]. - The average performance of pure bond funds was negative, with mid-to-long-term pure bond funds averaging -0.19% and short-term bond funds averaging -0.03% for the week [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The bond market is under pressure due to increased risk appetite in the equity market, leading to a "stock-bond seesaw" effect, where funds are being diverted from bonds to equities [3][4]. - The current bond market adjustment is driven more by expectations rather than changes in the funding environment, with a potential shift from deflation to mild inflation anticipated [3][4]. Fund Manager Strategies - Fund managers are adopting strategies such as shortening duration and adjusting portfolio structures to cope with the steepening yield curve [8][9]. - There is a consensus among fund managers that the bond market does not have the foundation for a long-term decline, with continued demand from institutional clients and a stable funding environment [2][8]. Investor Sentiment - Personal investors are expressing mixed feelings, with some feeling pessimistic about the bond market while others see potential buying opportunities [8][10]. - Fund managers suggest that investors consider extending their holding periods and maintaining a balanced approach to their portfolios, especially during market adjustments [10][11].
债市“跌麻了”,基金经理直言“压力大”
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-08-19 22:53