智通财经网·2025-08-20 02:14Core Viewpoint - Company maintains core net profit estimates for China Resources Beer at 5.31 billion and 5.75 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a target price of 32.4 HKD, indicating a 15% upside potential from the current price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue reached 23.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, with core EBIT at 7.11 billion yuan, up 11.3% year-on-year [2] - Beer revenue was 23.16 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.6% year-on-year growth, with sales volume increasing by 2.2% and average selling price (ASP) rising by 0.4% [2] - The beer business slightly exceeded expectations due to improved gross margins and reduced selling expenses, leading to a core EBIT of 7.28 billion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [2][3] Group 2: Beer Business Trends - The beer business outperformed the overall industry in 1H25, with sales volume up 2.2% and ton price increasing by 0.4%, benefiting from a 4.2% decrease in ton cost and a 2.5 percentage point increase in gross margin to 48.3% [3] - The company noted a significant growth in online and instant retail channels, with GMV increasing by 40% and 50% respectively, although these channels still represent a small proportion of total sales [3] Group 3: White Spirit Business Challenges - The white spirit business faced a more significant decline than market expectations, with revenue down 34% year-on-year and EBITDA dropping by 47.2% [4] - The company plans to launch products priced between 100-300 yuan to strengthen its brand and aims to restructure its pricing system to ensure channel profitability [4] - The company anticipates that the white spirit industry will gradually release accumulated pressure in the second half of the year, which may support the healthy development of its white spirit business [4]