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伟伟道来| “二二三四”俄乌和平路线图
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao·2025-08-20 04:14

Core Points - The meeting between US and Russian leaders in Anchorage, Alaska on August 15, 2025, is a milestone event in the Russia-Ukraine peace process [1] - Following this, three significant meetings are planned: a Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting, a trilateral meeting involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine, and a quadrilateral meeting including the EU [1] - The sequence of meetings is structured as "two-two-three-four," forming a roadmap for the peace process [1] Group 1 - The prospects for the Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting remain unclear after the US-Russia summit [3] - Ukrainian President Zelensky has expressed a positive attitude, indicating willingness to meet with Putin [4] - Trump has also shown a proactive stance, initiating arrangements for a bilateral meeting with Zelensky [5] Group 2 - Russia's response indicates a lack of clear signals regarding the meeting, emphasizing the need for thorough preparation before any talks [5] - Zelensky's firm stance on territorial issues during his meeting with Trump did not align with Russia's expectations, which could hinder the leaders' meeting [6] - If the Russia-Ukraine leaders meeting does not occur, subsequent trilateral and quadrilateral meetings may not take place, stalling the peace process [7] Group 3 - Trump is expected to apply pressure on Zelensky while facilitating communication with Putin [8] - Both Russia and Ukraine are likely to intensify military efforts, with Russia aiming to gain more territory and Ukraine planning significant attacks [8][9] - The EU is positioned to join the negotiation table only after the Russia-Ukraine conflict is resolved, indicating a sequential approach to addressing European security issues [10] Group 4 - The EU's insistence on being included in the peace process appears somewhat petty, given the current order of negotiations [11] - The collective visit of seven European leaders to the White House was more of a symbolic gesture rather than a substantial contribution to the peace process [12] - Trump's disregard for European leaders during the meeting highlights a potential rift in the dynamics of the negotiations [13]