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江阴银行(002807):资产质量稳定 投资表现亮眼

Core Viewpoint - Jiangyin Bank released its 2025 semi-annual report, showing revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders growth rates of 10.5%, 14.7%, and 16.6% year-on-year, with respective changes from Q1 of +4.45pct, +6.27pct, and +14.40pct [1] Highlights - Steady growth in scale and optimized loan structure: As of Q2 2025, interest-earning assets and loans grew by 10.6% and 7.0% year-on-year, with changes from Q1 of 7bp and -19bp respectively. The proportion of corporate loans increased while the share of bill discounting decreased. Personal loans saw a 21bp decline in proportion, with the largest drop in housing mortgage loans at 1.13pct [2] - Stable asset quality and strengthened risk compensation ability: The non-performing loan ratio remained at 0.86% as of Q2 2025, consistent with Q1, maintaining a steady decline trend since 2024. The new non-performing loan generation rate for H1 2025 was 1.30%, down 48bp from the previous quarter, with a provision coverage ratio of 381.22%, up 31.22bp [2] - Improvement in net interest margin: The net interest margin for H1 2025 was 1.54%, up 3bp quarter-on-quarter. In Q2 2025, the yield on interest-earning assets was 3.14%, stable quarter-on-quarter, while the cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased by 5bp to 1.53%, indicating potential for further improvement as high-cost liabilities mature [2] - Decrease in cost-to-income ratio: The cost-to-income ratio for H1 2025 was 23.74%, down 1.57pct quarter-on-quarter [2] - Continued high growth in investment income: Other non-interest income grew by 37.6% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.95pct, driven by reduced market volatility and proactive cashing of financial investment gains, leading to an 81.44% increase in investment income [2] Concerns - Fee income remains under pressure: Net fee income decreased by 35.2% year-on-year in H1 2025, continuing the decline from Q1's -19.1% [3] - Volatility in quality forward indicators: The attention rate as of Q2 2025 was 1.10%, up 7bp from Q1. The proportion of loans in wholesale retail and construction sectors increased by 3.83% and 2.34% respectively, while the manufacturing sector's loan proportion decreased by 1.19%, necessitating further monitoring of potential non-performing loans in small and micro enterprises and real estate [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth rates of 5.68% and 6.97% for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with EPS of 0.87 and 0.94 yuan per share. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 5.29X and 4.95X for 2025 and 2026, and PB ratios of 0.56X and 0.52X. Considering the historical PB valuation center and fundamental conditions, a PB of 0.7 times the latest net asset value per share is suggested, corresponding to a fair value of 5.39 yuan per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]