Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-08-20 07:14Core Viewpoint - The lithium industry is experiencing significant performance divergence among companies, driven by low lithium carbonate prices, highlighting the importance of resource advantages and cost control capabilities for sustainable development [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Companies like Tianqi Lithium and Cangge Mining expect to achieve profitability in the first half of 2025, with Tianqi Lithium projecting a net profit of up to 155 million yuan, a 102.98% increase from the previous year [2]. - Zhongkuang Resources anticipates a net profit of 65 to 90 million yuan, representing a decline of approximately 80.97% to 86.26% compared to the previous year's 473 million yuan [2]. - Companies such as Ganfeng Lithium and Shengxin Lithium are expected to report losses, with Shengxin Lithium forecasting a loss of 720 to 850 million yuan, compared to a loss of 187 million yuan in the same period last year [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The decline in lithium prices is cited as a primary reason for the performance downturn, with Ganfeng Lithium noting that the sales prices of lithium salts and battery products have continued to drop [3]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was reported at 79,500 yuan per ton as of August 12, remaining below 100,000 yuan per ton [4]. - Analysts predict that the lithium market may achieve supply-demand balance next year, with potential price recovery, although the industry must first undergo a capacity clearing process [4]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Companies are actively adjusting their operational strategies to cope with the downturn, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6]. - Ganfeng Lithium is increasing production capacity through low-cost projects and technological advancements, while Tianqi Lithium is enhancing its internal control structure and management efficiency [6]. - Some companies are strategically increasing resource investments despite short-term cost pressures, positioning themselves for future price rebounds [7].