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太平洋证券:东南亚能量饮料市场空间广阔且格局未定 关注国内行业龙头出海机遇
智通财经网·2025-08-20 08:34

Core Insights - Southeast Asia's hot climate provides a natural foundation for the development of soft drinks, with the energy drink sector being the fastest-growing sub-industry, projected to reach a retail value of approximately 30.6 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 6.0% from 2014 to 2024 [1][2] Industry Overview - The Southeast Asian soft drink industry is expected to reach a total retail value of about 287.2 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 2.2% from 2014 to 2024, with Vietnam and the Philippines being the fastest-growing countries in this sector [2] - The energy drink market in Southeast Asia is characterized by a lack of absolute leading brands, presenting opportunities for growth through high cost-performance and differentiated products [4] Market Dynamics - The energy drink market can be categorized into three types: 1. Growth markets: Vietnam and Cambodia, with Vietnam being the largest market and both countries experiencing high growth rates of 12% and 9% CAGR respectively from 2014 to 2024 [3] 2. Mature markets: Thailand, where growth has stabilized with a strong competitive landscape [3] 3. Potential markets: The Philippines and Indonesia, which have not fully embraced energy drinks due to cultural influences [3] Competitive Landscape - The leading players in the Southeast Asian energy drink market include Pepsi's Sting, which has a retail value of 7.57 billion, followed by three major Thai beverage companies, while local brands generally lack financial strength and brand recognition [4] - The price range for energy drinks in Southeast Asia is concentrated between 2.5 to 3 yuan, with opportunities for new entrants to capture market share through high cost-performance and innovative products [4] Company Strategy - Dongpeng Beverage (605499.SH) has outlined its overseas expansion plans and is set to list on the H-share market to pursue international growth, aiming for a long-term revenue target of 5 billion from the Southeast Asian energy drink market [5] - The company anticipates achieving a revenue scale of 40 billion through a combination of specialty drinks, new products, and expansion into third-tier overseas markets, with a projected net profit of 8.4 billion assuming a stable net profit margin of 21% [5]