电力变局：四川需求持续攀升，新藏西疆内蒙古外送电量大增

Group 1 - Sichuan has transitioned from being an "energy exporter" to a "dual supply and demand" model, with continuous growth in electricity exports from regions like Tibet, Xinjiang, and Inner Mongolia [1] - The maximum electricity load in Sichuan reached 74.19 million kilowatts, marking a 7% increase from last year's peak load of 69.29 million kilowatts and a 25.5% increase from the 2022 summer peak load of 59.10 million kilowatts [2] - Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, Sichuan's electricity load and consumption have increased by over 47% and 40% respectively, supporting the province's GDP growth [2] Group 2 - The rapid growth in electricity demand has shifted Sichuan's energy development from a "tight balance" to a "dual shortage" situation, moving from a focus on hydropower to a more integrated approach involving wind and solar energy [3] - Sichuan is actively seeking to purchase electricity from outside the province to meet the growing demand, including imports from Gansu and Hubei [3] - The National Energy Administration predicts that national electricity consumption will grow at a rate of approximately 5.6% during the 14th Five-Year Plan and around 4.3% during the 15th Five-Year Plan [4] Group 3 - Inner Mongolia is the largest electricity-generating province in China, with a projected total generation of 817.97 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 8.69% of the national total [6] - Xinjiang's electricity generation is expected to reach approximately 531.32 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, ranking fifth in the country, with significant contributions from renewable energy sources [6] - By the end of 2024, Xinjiang's renewable energy generation is expected to reach 116.16 billion kilowatt-hours, a 30.7% increase year-on-year, making it the primary source of electricity generation in the region [6] Group 4 - Inner Mongolia plans to add 40 million kilowatts of new renewable energy capacity and exceed 100 billion kilowatt-hours in electricity exports [7] - Tibet has significant potential for hydropower development, with a new project expected to generate substantial electricity for export while also meeting local demand [7] - Since 2015, Tibet has exported a cumulative total of 15.79 billion kilowatt-hours of clean energy, generating over 4.2 billion yuan in economic benefits [7]