【环球财经】欧洲央行行长拉加德：欧元区第三季度经济增速将放缓

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde indicated that the Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow in the third quarter due to the fading "front-running" effect from prior tariff expectations and the impact of new tariffs [1] Economic Impact - The "front-running" effect refers to importers placing orders early and increasing inventory in anticipation of tariff hikes, which temporarily boosts trade and output, followed by a subsequent decline [1] - In the first quarter of this year, sectors with high exports to the U.S., such as pharmaceuticals, experienced growth that exceeded expectations [1] - The slowdown in Eurozone economic growth was already evident in the second quarter of this year [1] Tariff Changes - According to a recent trade agreement between the EU and the U.S., tariffs on Eurozone goods are expected to be higher than those prior to April, with the effective average tariff rate from the U.S. on Eurozone goods projected to be between 12% and 16% [1] - This new tariff level is lower than the previously considered scenario of "over 20%" but still presents uncertainty, particularly regarding specific tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors [1] Labor Market and Trade Relations - The labor market in the Eurozone remains generally robust, with an unemployment rate of 6.2% as of June [1] - While the U.S. continues to be a significant trading partner for Europe, there is a call for Europe to diversify its trade relationships to enhance resilience and leverage its export-oriented economy [1]