Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Walmart Stock Before Q2 Earnings?

Core Insights - Walmart Inc. is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on August 21, with investors weighing the decision to buy or hold the stock ahead of the report [1] - The company has established a strong position in global retail through a diversified business model and omnichannel strategy, supported by steady traffic growth and expanding high-margin businesses [2] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal second-quarter revenues is $175.5 billion, reflecting a 3.7% increase year-over-year, while the earnings per share (EPS) estimate has risen to 73 cents, indicating a 9% growth from the previous year [3][10] - Walmart has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 5.3%, with the last quarter's earnings surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7% [6] Earnings Prediction - The Zacks model predicts a likely earnings beat for Walmart, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.26% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [7][8] Growth Drivers - Walmart's growth is bolstered by its delivery speed, marketplace scale, and e-commerce strength, with a projected 4% increase in U.S. comparable sales and a 4.9% rise in Sam's Club U.S. comps for the fiscal second quarter [10][12] - E-commerce is a significant growth catalyst, with Walmart targeting 95% of the U.S. population for three-hour delivery options, enhancing convenience and profitability [13] - High-margin businesses, including membership and advertising, are diversifying revenue streams and providing earnings stability [14] International Expansion - Strong performances in international markets, particularly in China and Flipkart, highlight Walmart's ability to tap into high-potential regions and diversify geographic risks [15] Valuation Analysis - Walmart's stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 36.56, above the industry average of 33.34, indicating a relatively expensive valuation compared to peers like Kroger and Target [17][18] - Over the past three months, Walmart's stock has gained 5%, outperforming the industry growth of 4.2% but underperforming key peers like Target, which gained 13.3% [20][22] Investment Consideration - Walmart's broad retail reach, integration of physical and digital channels, and expanding profit streams present a solid buying opportunity ahead of its fiscal second-quarter earnings release, despite the premium valuation [23][24]