加力扩大有效投资强化基建投资“稳定器”作用

Core Viewpoint - The State Council emphasizes the need to "increase effective investment" and adapt to changing demands by investing more in people and public services, while actively promoting private investment [1] Investment Structure Optimization - From January to July, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 288,229 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%, showing a decline compared to the first half of the year. The actual growth, after adjusting for price factors, is around 4% to 5% [2] - The decline in nominal investment growth is attributed to short-term factors such as extreme weather, complex external environments, intensified domestic competition, and weakening investment momentum in traditional industries [2] - Despite the nominal growth decline, the actual physical investment volume remains robust, particularly driven by innovation and large-scale equipment updates, leading to continuous optimization of the investment structure [2][3] Key Areas for Effective Investment Expansion - Infrastructure investment in key areas is growing rapidly, with water management investment up by 12.6% and information transmission investment up by 8.3% from January to July [3] - Large-scale equipment updates have significantly contributed to investment growth, with equipment and tool purchases increasing by 15.2%, accounting for 16.2% of total investment and driving overall investment growth by 2.2 percentage points [3] - Future measures to enhance effective investment may include increasing funding for large-scale equipment updates, issuing new local government special bonds, and accelerating infrastructure investment [3][4] Policy Effectiveness and Targeting - The emphasis on "effective" investment indicates a focus on nurturing new productive forces and addressing public service gaps, while controlling investments in low-efficiency areas [4] - Key investment areas include "two重" construction projects, urban infrastructure upgrades, and consumer infrastructure development, which are expected to play a stabilizing role in the macro economy [4] Enhancing Policy Implementation - The need to improve the effectiveness of macro policies is highlighted, with a focus on timely adjustments based on economic conditions and addressing prominent issues in economic operations [5] - Fiscal policies should accelerate government bond issuance and improve fund utilization efficiency to stimulate consumption and investment [5] - Monetary policy should maintain ample market liquidity and guide financial institutions to increase credit to the real economy, with flexible use of various monetary policy tools [6]