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受银行净息差等影响 LPR连续三个月不变
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-20 19:18

Group 1 - The latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remains unchanged at 3.0% for 1-year and 3.5% for over 5 years, consistent for three consecutive months, aligning with market expectations [1][2] - The stability in LPR is attributed to the steady policy interest rates and the lack of motivation for banks to lower LPR quotes due to historical low net interest margins [1][2] - The net interest margin of commercial banks is projected to decline further to 1.42% by Q2 2025, indicating ongoing pressure on banks to reduce costs for the real economy [1] Group 2 - Future monetary policy may allow for a downward adjustment of LPR, especially in light of low inflation levels and the need to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the housing market [2] - The potential for new rounds of interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in the second half of the year is anticipated, which could lead to a subsequent decrease in LPR [2] - Structural monetary policies are expected to play a more significant role in reducing financing costs, with a focus on non-interest costs such as collateral and intermediary service fees [1][2] Group 3 - The implementation of a moderately accommodative monetary policy is expected to focus on improving the transmission channels of monetary policy and optimizing the marketization process of LPR [3] - The aim is to lower the overall financing costs in society while maintaining the stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable level [3]