Core Viewpoint - The price of tungsten products has been continuously rising this year, driven by supply constraints and increasing demand from various industries, particularly in the renewable energy sector [1][3][4]. Price Trends - Tungsten concentrate prices have surged, with a recent increase of 3,000 to 10,000 yuan per ton. As of August 20, the price for 65% tungsten concentrate was 217,000 yuan per ton, up 51.75% since the beginning of the year [1]. - The price for ammonium paratungstate (APT) reached 311,500 yuan per ton, reflecting a 47.98% increase year-to-date, while tungsten powder prices rose to 482.5 yuan per kilogram, up 53.91% [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply has tightened due to a reduction in mining quotas set by the Ministry of Natural Resources, with a 6.45% decrease in the first batch of tungsten mining quotas for 2025 compared to 2024 [3]. - Major tungsten-producing regions, such as Jiangxi and Yunnan, have also seen significant reductions in mining output, leading to a sharp decrease in market circulation [3]. - Demand for tungsten is growing, particularly in hard alloy applications across various sectors, including aerospace, defense, and electronics. The demand for tungsten in the renewable energy sector is expected to exceed 4,500 tons by 2025 [3]. Market Outlook - Short-term prospects for tungsten prices are positive, driven by restocking needs and export recovery. However, long-term supply constraints may lead to a sustained increase in tungsten prices [4]. - The profit distribution within the tungsten industry is characterized by a "smile curve," where companies at both ends of the value chain are likely to benefit from rising tungsten prices [4]. Stock Performance - Tungsten-related stocks in the A-share market have generally risen, with an average increase of 10.1% since August. Notable performers include Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongtung High-tech, and Xianglu Tungsten, with cumulative increases of 22.48%, 18.99%, and 17.41%, respectively [5][9]. - Some tungsten stocks are currently undervalued, with a median rolling P/E ratio of 30.24 times, and companies like Shengtun Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum have P/E ratios below 20 times [6]. Company Performance - Shengtun Mining has the lowest valuation with a rolling P/E ratio of 12.41 times and holds 32,200 tons of tungsten metal in its own mines [7]. - Among the companies that have reported earnings, a significant proportion (75%) showed positive growth, with Luoyang Molybdenum expected to report a net profit of 8.2 to 9.1 billion yuan for the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 51.37% to 67.98% [7].
关键金属钨持续涨价 产业链迎增长机遇（附名单）
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-08-21 00:09