普京特朗普会谈近3小时，啥也没谈成

Core Points - The meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin on August 15 marked the first face-to-face encounter since 2019, highlighting the ongoing ceremonial diplomacy between the two nations [1] - Despite positive signals during the joint press conference, the meeting ended without any agreements, revealing the persistent structural contradictions in US-Russia relations [1] Group 1: Key Issues - The core topic of the meeting focused on the Ukraine crisis, particularly territorial exchange, with Trump stating that Ukraine would decide on negotiations, indicating limited US acknowledgment of Ukraine's sovereignty [2] - Russia's firm stance, emphasizing constitutional territorial integrity and military advantages, created a "impossible triangle" of Ukraine's sovereignty, Russian security concerns, and US strategic interests [2] - The divergent perceptions of the crisis were evident, with Russia viewing it as a geopolitical security issue while the US framed it as a struggle between democracy and authoritarianism [2] Group 2: Negotiation Dynamics - The change from a one-on-one to a three-on-three negotiation format reflected both sides' cautious strategies, with Trump aiming to avoid domestic political risks and Putin seeking to reinforce a unified diplomatic stance [3] - Trump's metaphor of chess during the talks suggested a strategic probing approach, while Putin's pragmatic response indicated a focus on the potential for future agreements [3] - The combination of positive signals and warnings from Russia illustrated a dual approach of negotiation sincerity and dissatisfaction with third-party interventions [3] Group 3: External Constraints - Ukraine and European positions imposed external constraints on the negotiations, with Ukrainian President Zelensky emphasizing the need for Ukraine's involvement in any decisions regarding its future [4] - The unified stance of European nations, advocating for Ukraine's direct participation and potential sanctions against Russia, complicated US negotiations [4] - Economic cooperation discussions were limited by domestic US sanctions against Russia, highlighting structural barriers to normalizing US-Russia relations [4] Group 4: Historical Trust Deficit - The failure of the talks underscored a long-standing trust deficit between the US and Russia, exacerbated by ongoing conflicts since the 2014 Crimea crisis [6] - The dynamics of battlefield developments influencing negotiation positions indicated a hardening of Russia's stance on territorial issues [6] - The deterioration of arms control agreements further complicated the mutual trust environment, with both sides focusing on short-term geopolitical interests rather than long-term cooperation [6] Group 5: Future Negotiation Prospects - Although the meeting did not yield substantial results, both parties left room for future negotiations, with potential involvement of Ukraine in subsequent discussions [7] - The symbolic significance of the meeting was noted, as it provided a platform for Trump to address domestic political pressures and for Putin to break Western diplomatic isolation [7] - The continuation of ceremonial diplomacy may become a new norm in US-Russia relations, but the complexity of the Ukraine crisis and structural contradictions suggest a long and challenging negotiation process ahead [7]