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俄罗斯央行官员:今年可能进一步降息 但并非“板上钉钉”
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-08-21 06:21

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Central Bank of Russia may lower the key interest rate from 18% this year if inflation decreases rapidly, but maintaining the current level is also a possibility to ensure sustainable inflation reduction [1] - The baseline forecast indicates that the inflation rate is expected to be between 6%-7% in 2025, and subsequently drop to 4% in the following years [1] - The average key interest rate is projected to be between 16.3%-18% from August to December this year, with expectations of 12%-13% next year, although the specific year-end figure may exceed this range [1] Group 2 - The Central Bank's predictions consider the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation improves significantly, but emphasizes that a rate decrease this year is not guaranteed [1] - The statement highlights that the current interest rate of 18% may be maintained if necessary, indicating a cautious approach to monetary policy [1]