Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the domestic new energy heavy truck sales and penetration rate are rapidly increasing due to policy support, strong power performance, low energy consumption, and operational costs, with sales reaching 79,200 units and a penetration rate of 22% in the first half of 2025 [1][2] - The economic advantages of new energy heavy trucks, including lower operating costs and environmental value, are becoming increasingly prominent, with a projected total sales of 500,000 electric heavy trucks in China by 2028, driving a demand for 250 GWh of batteries [1][2] - The electric heavy truck industry chain is becoming more collaborative, with a concentrated market structure in the vehicle, battery, and motor segments, which is expected to enhance profit elasticity across various segments [3] Group 2 - In Europe, the electric light and medium trucks and buses are experiencing rapid electrification, with sales of 131,000, 6,000, and 9,000 units respectively in 2024, and a penetration rate of 6.5%, 8.5%, and 19.8% [2] - The electric heavy truck market in Europe is still in its early stages, but issues such as insufficient range and inadequate charging infrastructure are gradually being resolved, with an expected sales increase to 17,000 units and a penetration rate of 5% by 2026 [2] - The focus on key segments of the electric heavy truck industry chain includes vehicle manufacturers, battery suppliers, and major component manufacturers, with recommendations to pay attention to specific companies in these areas [4][5]
申万宏源:国内商用车电动化外溢 电动重卡产业链生态愈加完善