智通财经网·2025-08-21 07:56Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities highlights the significant differentiation in profitability among thermal power units in Guangdong Province due to low electricity prices, with high-capacity coal power units performing better. It also anticipates limited downward space for electricity prices by 2025, predicting a relatively stable overall electricity price level for coal power units in 2026 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Current Situation - The profitability of thermal power assets is showing clear differentiation under low electricity prices [1]. - There are significant regional differences in electricity demand within Guangdong, leading to variations in spot electricity prices based on local consumption capabilities [1]. Group 2: Asset Differentiation - High-efficiency coal power units, particularly those with a capacity of 1 million kilowatts, exhibit the best profitability, with net profit per kilowatt-hour exceeding 0.01 yuan, and some units reaching over 0.02 yuan [2]. - Smaller capacity units, such as those below 300,000 kilowatts, are generally facing losses, indicating higher profitability pressure [2]. Group 3: Outlook - The annual long-term electricity price in Guangdong is nearing its bottom, with limited potential for further decline. The average transaction price for electricity in 2025 is reported at 0.392 yuan per kilowatt-hour, with a downward adjustment of 15.67% [3]. - Starting in 2026, the capacity price for coal power units is set to be adjusted to 165 yuan per kilowatt per year, which is expected to stabilize overall profitability for coal power units in Guangdong [3].