经济学家预测：日本央行将在10月份再次加息25个基点

Group 1 - A significant majority of economists, nearly two-thirds, believe that the Bank of Japan will raise its key interest rate by at least 25 basis points later this year, a notable increase from less than half a month ago [1] - Despite recent weakness in the U.S. job market leading to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, 70% of analysts indicate that this alone will not delay the Bank of Japan's tightening monetary policy [1] - Financial markets anticipate another 25 basis point rate hike from the Bank of Japan by the end of the year, following over three years of consumer inflation exceeding the 2% target [1] Group 2 - In a survey conducted from August 12 to 19, 92% of economists predicted that the Bank of Japan would not adjust rates in the upcoming mid-September policy meeting, while 63% expect an increase in the next quarter [1] - Among economists who specified the month for the next rate hike, 38% chose October, followed by 30% for January next year, and 18% for December this year [1] Group 3 - T&D Asset Management's chief strategist noted that the Bank of Japan will be able to respond more effectively to U.S. monetary policy and domestic political dynamics in October, coinciding with the release of its quarterly outlook report [2] - Over three-quarters of economists expressed support for a trade agreement between Japan and the U.S., while more than two-thirds expressed concern over increased fiscal spending pressure following the opposition party's victory in the recent Senate elections [2] - Concerns about short-sighted policy choices have been raised due to the ruling coalition losing its majority in the House of Representatives last year, potentially compromising fiscal sustainability [2] Group 4 - There is no clear consensus among respondents regarding which potential candidates for the next prime minister could formulate policies most likely to stimulate medium- to long-term economic growth [3]