智通财经网·2025-08-21 09:06Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates a downward revision of Kunlun Energy's profit forecasts for the next two years by 8% and 10%, reflecting a decrease in retail gas sales growth expectations [1] Financial Performance - Kunlun Energy's profit for the first half of the year decreased by 4.4% year-on-year to 3.16 billion RMB, achieving only 45% of the original annual forecast [1] - The pre-tax profit from the gas sales business fell by 10.6%, which was the main reason for the performance being below expectations [1] - The company declared a mid-year dividend that increased by 1.2%, with a payout ratio of 45.46%, slightly above the annual payout guidance [1] Future Projections - The core profit for this year is expected to remain stable at approximately 6.4 billion RMB, with projected year-on-year growth of 5.5% and 6.3% for 2026 and 2027, respectively [1] - Despite low growth in retail gas volume, the company has added five city gas projects in the first half and expects to acquire another five projects in the second half, which will enhance annual gas volume contributions [1] - The company anticipates that the retail gas volume growth rate in the second half will be higher than that of the first half, with an expected year-on-year increase of 4.5% for the year [1] Price Target and Rating - The target price for Kunlun Energy has been adjusted from 9.02 HKD to 8.85 HKD, although the dividend yield remains attractive, and the company continues to hold a "Buy" rating [1]