长城基金雷俊：港股科技有望持续走强

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market's technology sector has significantly outperformed other indices, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 63.79% over the past year, surpassing the Nasdaq's 22.90% and the ChiNext Index's 59.11% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Tech Index has seen a strong rebound, increasing nearly 26% since April 8, 2023, indicating a robust recovery in the technology sector [3] - The index has accumulated a total increase of 84.77% since 2015, with an annualized return exceeding 6%, outperforming both the CSI 500 Index and the ChiNext Index during the same period [6][8] Group 2: Investment Drivers - The ongoing wave of technological innovation, particularly in AI, is driving a transformation in China's technology industry, enhancing investor confidence in the future of Chinese tech assets [1][3] - Increased capital expenditures by global tech giants and the acceleration of AI commercialization are contributing to the positive outlook for Hong Kong's tech sector [3][4] Group 3: Valuation and Earnings - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Hang Seng Tech Index is 21.94, which is at a relatively low percentile of 23% over the past decade, suggesting good investment value [9] - Earnings reports from major companies within the index show strong growth, with one internet leader exceeding market expectations in both revenue and profit for the second quarter [9][10] Group 4: Capital Flow and External Factors - There has been a significant inflow of capital into Hong Kong stocks, with net purchases reaching 874.58 billion yuan this year, marking a historical high [10] - Expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a generally loose global liquidity environment are favorable for the Hong Kong tech market [4][10]