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中原证券:给予龙佰集团增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-21 12:48

Core Viewpoint - Longbai Group's performance in the first half of 2025 was under pressure, with a decline in revenue and net profit, but the company is enhancing its industrial layout to build long-term competitiveness [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Longbai Group achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.34% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share of 0.58 yuan [2][3]. - The company's titanium dioxide business revenue was 8.684 billion yuan, a decline of 7.68% due to falling prices [3]. Product Performance - Titanium dioxide production reached 682,200 tons, an increase of 5.02%, while sales were 612,000 tons, up 2.08% [2]. - Sponge titanium production was 36,200 tons, up 9.30%, with sales of 38,700 tons, an increase of 25.51% [2]. - Revenue from iron-based products and zirconium products was 1.169 billion yuan and 515 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 10.61% and 18.95% [3]. Profitability Analysis - The overall gross margin was 23.62%, down 3.91 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 10.48%, a decrease of 1.94 percentage points [3]. - The gross margin for the titanium dioxide business was 27.11%, down 6.40 percentage points, while iron-based products saw a gross margin of 53.89%, up 11.79 percentage points [3]. Industry Context - The titanium dioxide industry is experiencing a downturn due to capacity expansion, demand slowdown, and anti-dumping measures, with prices at their lowest since 2020 [4]. - Longbai Group maintains good profitability amid industry challenges due to its upstream resource security and integrated industrial chain advantages [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its upstream resource security and pursuing two key projects: the joint development of the Hongge North Mine and the Xujiagou Iron Mine, which will increase titanium concentrate capacity to 2.48 million tons per year and iron concentrate capacity to 7.6 million tons per year [4]. - Longbai Group is also expanding its global footprint and adjusting its business strategy in response to anti-dumping investigations affecting the titanium dioxide industry [4]. Investment Outlook - The expected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.20 yuan and 1.47 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.90 and 12.15 based on the closing price of 17.89 yuan on August 20 [5].