Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Imperial Bank (CM) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended July 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating potential stock price movements based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Canadian Imperial Bank is $1.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +1.4% [3]. - Expected revenues for the quarter are $5.12 billion, which represents a 6.2% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.71% higher, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Canadian Imperial Bank is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.87%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a positive ESP being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - Canadian Imperial Bank's current Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Canadian Imperial Bank exceeded the expected EPS of $1.34 by delivering $1.44, resulting in a surprise of +7.46% [13]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14]. Industry Comparison - Royal Bank (RY), a peer in the banking industry, is expected to report an EPS of $2.36 for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -0.8% [18]. - Royal Bank's revenues are projected to be $11.59 billion, up 8.5% from the previous year, with a positive Earnings ESP of +1.06% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [19].