【新华财经调查】3000亿元市场前景凸显 全球电梯大国如何“托”“转”“创”

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese elevator industry is facing significant transformation pressures as the market reaches a turning point, with a shift from new installations to a focus on service, highlighting the need for policy and innovation to unlock the potential of the 300 billion market in the post-service era [1][2][4]. Market Trends - China's elevator production is projected to increase from 1.17 million units in 2019 to nearly 1.5 million units by 2024, accounting for over 70% of global output [2]. - The new installation market has seen a decline of over 10% in 2023, with some cities experiencing near-zero growth [2][4]. - By June 2025, the production of elevators, escalators, and lifts is expected to drop by 6.2% year-on-year, with a cumulative production of 654,000 units in the first half of 2025, down 6.4% year-on-year [2]. Service Market Potential - The post-service market includes the installation and upgrading of elevators in old residential areas and a substantial maintenance market [4]. - The current elevator stock in China is 11.6 million units, with an estimated 400,000 to 500,000 units requiring upgrades in the next 1 to 5 years [6]. - The post-service market is projected to be worth approximately 300 billion to 320 billion yuan over three years, with an annual scale of about 100 billion yuan [6]. Industry Transformation Challenges - The industry must navigate three key challenges to transition from a production powerhouse to a comprehensive service provider [7]. - The first challenge involves moving from price competition to forming ecological alliances among leading companies in the elevator service sector [8]. - The second challenge is adapting to diverse application scenarios, as the market shifts from a focus on residential elevators to a broader range of applications [11]. - The third challenge is ensuring safety and maintenance throughout the entire lifecycle of elevators, addressing the current imbalance between installation and maintenance [12]. Strategic Recommendations - The industry requires a collaborative effort among government, enterprises, and communities to support a deep transformation towards a comprehensive service model [13]. - Strengthening safety regulations and promoting comprehensive insurance for elevators can enhance service capabilities and public trust [14]. - Building an ecological service network and integrating various stakeholders will be crucial for sustainable growth [15]. - Expanding into global markets and establishing overseas industrial chains can facilitate the transition from a production-focused to a service-oriented industry [16].