Core Viewpoint - Jefferies maintains a "Buy" rating on China Hongqiao (01378) and raises the target price to HKD 26.9, citing strong performance and confidence in future earnings growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - China Hongqiao reported a net profit of RMB 12.4 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35% [2]. - The average selling price (ASP) of aluminum increased by 2.7% to RMB 17,853 per ton, while the ASP of alumina rose by 10.3% to RMB 3,243 per ton, significantly outpacing overall market trends [2]. - Unit gross profit for aluminum and alumina increased by RMB 225 and RMB 185 per ton, respectively, due to higher average selling prices [1]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its cost of goods sold (COGS), with aluminum costs rising slightly by 2% to RMB 13,300 per ton, influenced by higher carbon anode prices [2]. - Alumina costs increased by 5% to RMB 2,300 per ton, primarily due to rising caustic soda prices, while bauxite benefited from vertical integration [2]. Shareholder Returns - China Hongqiao announced a stock buyback plan of at least HKD 3 billion, in addition to the HKD 2.6 billion already repurchased, reflecting management's confidence in the company's performance [3]. - The company shifted its dividend payment from semi-annual to annual, maintaining a commitment to pay at least 60% of last year's dividends, which is expected to stabilize dividend expectations [3]. - If the HKD 3 billion buyback is completed in the second half of 2025, the total buyback for the year will reach at least HKD 5.6 billion, allowing for an additional 20% dividend payment on top of the 60% base [3].
杰富瑞：中国宏桥(01378)强劲回购提高股东回报，上调目标价至26.9港元