Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-08-22 02:31Core Viewpoint - The rare earth sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with notable increases in stock prices and export volumes, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [1]. Export and Price Trends - In July, China's export of rare earth magnetic materials reached 5,577 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month increase of 75%. This figure exceeds the average level of the same period over the past three years by 10% [1]. - As of August 20, the domestic price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide was reported at 624,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 57% increase since the beginning of the year and a 39% increase from the highest point in the first half of the year [1]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - According to estimates, the export volume of rare earth magnetic materials in 2024 is expected to account for approximately 24% of domestic total demand. The current peak season for downstream procurement, combined with improved export conditions, suggests a sustained positive trend in overall domestic demand for magnetic materials [1]. - Short-term projections indicate that domestic praseodymium and neodymium prices may continue to rise due to tightening supply and demand dynamics, driven by seasonal demand and limited supply increases from imports [1]. Long-term Outlook - In the medium to long term, from 2025 to 2027, the supply and demand for praseodymium and neodymium in China are expected to gradually tighten, leading to an upward shift in price levels [1]. - The strong performance of praseodymium and neodymium prices is supported by ongoing growth in downstream demand from sectors such as electric vehicles, air conditioning, and consumer electronics, as well as the acceleration of commercialization in humanoid robotics, which may open up new demand growth opportunities for rare earth permanent magnets [1].