稀土板块发力走高，三川智慧20%涨停

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with notable increases in stock prices and export volumes, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [1] Export Data - In July, China's export of rare earth magnetic materials reached 5,577 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month increase of 75% [1] - The export volume in July exceeded the average level of the same period over the past three years by 10% [1] Price Trends - As of August 20, the domestic price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide was reported at 624,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 57% increase since the beginning of the year and a 39% increase from the highest point in the first half of the year [1] Demand Outlook - According to estimates, the export volume of rare earth magnetic materials in 2024 is expected to account for approximately 24% of domestic total demand [1] - The current peak season for downstream procurement, combined with improved export conditions, is likely to sustain overall demand for magnetic materials in China [1] Price Projections - In the short term, domestic praseodymium and neodymium prices are expected to rise further due to tightening supply and demand dynamics, influenced by seasonal demand and limited supply increases from imports [1] - In the medium to long term, from 2025 to 2027, the supply-demand balance for praseodymium and neodymium is anticipated to gradually tighten, leading to an upward shift in price levels [1] Industry Support - Citic Securities indicates that strong praseodymium and neodymium prices will be supported by continuous growth in downstream demand from sectors such as electric vehicles, air conditioning, and consumer electronics [1] - The acceleration of commercialization in humanoid robots is expected to open up new growth opportunities for long-term demand in rare earth permanent magnets [1]