Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry is experiencing a decline in single ticket revenue due to the trend of smaller packages and ongoing price wars, although there may be a recovery in prices in August under the backdrop of reduced competition [1][2]. Industry Overview - In July 2025, the express delivery industry reported a single ticket revenue of 7.36 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.33% and a month-on-month decrease of 1.76% [1][2]. - The growth rate of express delivery business volume in July 2025 was 15.1%, outpacing the growth of physical online retail sales at 8.3% and social consumer retail sales at 3.7% [2]. Regional Analysis - In July 2025, the year-on-year growth rates of express delivery business volume in different regions were as follows: Class 1 regions at +14.2%, Class 2 regions at +16.8%, and Class 3 regions at +28.0% [2]. - The year-on-year growth rates of single ticket revenue in these regions were: Class 1 at -4.7%, Class 2 at -7.2%, and Class 3 at -12.1% [2]. Company Performance - In July 2025, the year-on-year growth rates of express delivery business volume for major companies were: YTO Express at +20.81%, Yunda Express at +7.56%, Shentong Express at +11.90%, and SF Express at +33.69% [3]. - The year-on-year changes in single ticket revenue for these companies were: YTO Express at -7.14%, Yunda Express at -3.54%, Shentong Express at -1.50%, and SF Express at -14.02% [3].
国海证券:“反内卷”逐步落地 期待8月快递行业价格修复