报喜鸟(002154)2025年中报点评：品牌表现分化 费用增加净利承压

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to a sluggish domestic consumption environment and increased strategic expenses aimed at achieving long-term sustainable development goals [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for 25H1 was 2.391 billion yuan, down 3.58% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 197 million yuan, a decrease of 42.66% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 162 million yuan, down 46.61% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin slightly increased by 0.21 percentage points to 68.39% in 25H1 [3] - Operating cash flow net amount was 95 million yuan, a decrease of 31.92% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced cash collection from declining revenue [3] Group 2: Brand and Channel Performance - The brand performance varied, with Haggis and Le Fei Ye showing growth, while the main brand and group purchase business faced pressure [2] - Revenue changes for brands in 25H1 included: Baoxini -9.60%, Haggis +8.37%, Baoniao -22.53%, Le Fei Ye +20.48%, and Kaimi -11.41% [2] - Online sales increased by 17.65%, while group purchase revenue fell by 20.94% [2] Group 3: Cost Structure and Inventory Management - The expense ratio increased significantly by 5.67 percentage points to 54.41%, with sales expenses rising due to channel optimization and increased online promotion costs [3] - Inventory as of 25H1 was 1.138 billion yuan, down 5.52% from the beginning of the year, indicating good inventory control [3] - Finished goods inventory turnover days were 271 days [3] Group 4: Future Outlook and Investment Rating - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024 and 25H1 down to 405 million yuan and 474 million yuan respectively, while increasing the 27-year forecast to 542 million yuan [4] - The long-term strategy focuses on high-quality development and brand investment, which is expected to enhance brand competitiveness [4]