What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Smucker (SJM) Q1 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Smucker (SJM) will report quarterly earnings of $1.95 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 20.1%, with revenues expected to be $2.13 billion, showing no change compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 0.7%, indicating a reassessment of initial projections by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor actions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Sales- U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads' will reach $510.17 million, a change of +2.7% from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Net Sales- U.S. Retail Coffee' is projected at $699.24 million, indicating a change of +12.2% from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Net Sales- U.S. Retail Pet Foods' is expected to be $378.03 million, reflecting a decline of -5.4% from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Net Sales- International and Away From Home' is estimated at $280.90 million, a change of +3.5% from the year-ago quarter [6]. - 'Net Sales- Sweet Baked Snacks' is projected at $261.65 million, indicating a year-over-year change of -21.6% [6]. Segment Profit Estimates - 'Segment Profit- U.S. Retail Coffee' is expected to be $139.97 million, down from $172.60 million reported in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Segment Profit- U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads' is estimated at $119.10 million, slightly up from $119.00 million in the previous year [7]. - 'Segment Profit- International and Away From Home' is projected at $49.25 million, compared to $48.60 million reported in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Segment Profit- U.S. Retail Pet Foods' is expected to reach $108.44 million, down from $115.30 million in the same quarter last year [8]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Smucker have returned +4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change [8].