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厦门钨业(600549):25Q2利润环比增长 需求回暖或增厚业绩

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced significant performance growth in Q2 2025, driven by its tungsten-molybdenum and cathode businesses, with multiple projects underway across various segments, indicating a potential for diversified growth as demand recovers [1]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 972 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.37%. In Q2 2025, the net profit was 581 million yuan, down 1.41% year-on-year but up 48.65% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company adjusted its EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.22, 1.31, and 1.42 yuan respectively, reflecting potential impacts from international trade tensions and declining photovoltaic demand [2]. - The target price was raised to 36.6 yuan, based on a 30x PE for 2025, up from the previous 24.11 yuan [2]. Segment Performance - In H1 2025, profits from the tungsten-molybdenum, energy new materials, rare earth, and real estate segments were down 10.94%, up 35.47%, up 6.71%, and down 1.35 million yuan respectively, with total profits of 1.268 billion, 339 million, 125 million, and a loss of 41 million yuan [2]. - The decline in tungsten-molybdenum performance was attributed to resource tax payments and decreased revenue and margins from fine tungsten wire [2]. - The energy new materials segment saw significant profit growth due to increased demand for lithium iron phosphate and lithium cobalt oxide products [2]. - The rare earth business benefited from overseas market expansion and optimized customer structure, leading to substantial profit increases [2]. Q2 Segment Highlights - In Q2 2025, profits from the tungsten-molybdenum, energy new materials, rare earth, and real estate segments increased by 40.2%, 73.4%, decreased by 10.6%, and a slight profit of 1 million yuan respectively, totaling 740 million, 215 million, 59 million, and a loss of 20 million yuan [3]. - Despite a decrease in fine tungsten wire sales, the tungsten products' prices rose, and the output of smelting products increased, contributing to profit growth in the tungsten-molybdenum segment [3]. - The energy new materials segment saw high growth in sales of lithium cobalt oxide and ternary materials, leading to significant profit increases [3]. - The rare earth segment experienced a slight decline in performance due to rising raw material prices, despite increased sales of magnetic materials [3]. Future Outlook - The company is actively developing multiple projects from resource extraction to deep processing, indicating a strong potential for diversified growth across its business segments [1][3]. - The Ninghua Hangluokeng tungsten mine is undergoing resource verification and deep exploration, with potential for increased reserves, while the oil mapo tungsten-molybdenum mine is under construction with an expected output of 3,200 tons of tungsten concentrate upon completion [3].